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The Monday Morning Playbook: Week of March 31, 2025

Resistance be resisting

Good morning,

It’s every technician’s most hated question, “Where’s support?”

Whenever there’s a market correction, everybody wants to know where it is. The cruel irony is that what they should be worried about is resistance.

Last week, I laid out two potential scenarios, and unfortunately, we got scenario one.

The S&P 500 broke out higher to start last week but didn’t have strong breadth and ran right into the resistance zone at 5800.

The index fell 3.4% the final three days of last week, undercutting the prior week’s low and posting its lowest weekly close since September.

All in all, not good.

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