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The Monday Morning Playbook: Week of September 21, 2026

Bitcoin is breaking out

Good morning,

Futures are solidly higher this morning, led by the Nasdaq, as oil prices continue to pull back.

If there’s a material technical development, it’s Bitcoin breaking out to start the week, up through the $83k resistance level and completing a double-bottom that targets materially higher prices. It’s also making 3-month relative highs vs. the S&P 500 and starting to become leadership.

I want the main takeaway from the latest edition of The Weekender and today’s report to be that there are a lot of reasons to be bullish on the fourth quarter and to think of this as a buying opportunity. The seasonal roadmap and still-falling indexes like the Dow and Russell 2000 would imply the bottom isn’t quite in yet, but a breakout in QQQ and all bets are off.

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